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Preston Smalley

Evidence-Based Management

Posted on 4 September 200616 October 2006

I recently read the article Evidence-Based Management (HBR Jan 06) which outlines an emerging movement which applies the scientific approach long used in medicine to the practice of management.

A number of factors inhibit managers’ ability to make good decisions including:

  • specialty bias (e.g. marketers tend to recommend marketing as a solution)
  • hype (e.g. managers taken by the latest pop management theory)
  • dogma (e.g. managers who know that people really only click on items “above the fold”)
  • casual benchmarking (e.g. Shuttle by United’s attempt to copy Southwest)

Evidence-based management aims to avoid these pitfalls by:

  • Investing in Analytics – In order to make sound decisions you must have the sound underlying evidence upon which to do so. This often means a large investment in metrics and analytics.
  • Asking Questions – Recognize gaps in logic and misuse of inference. Often the positive effect touted is unrelated to the claimed cause. Demand that proposals be backed by sound data.
  • Performing A/B Testing – Rather than make an uneducated decision, create a test for your hypothesis. eBay and other internet companies have been doing this for years and it is amazing all that you can learn from it.
  • Showing Humility – By admitting what you don’t know you’ve taken the first step toward learning something. Celebrate mistakes and a means to learning about your business.

Having worked at companies that employ this management theory I think we must pay close attention to each decision made. A poor decision can be made under the guise of what looks like evidence-based management but is in fact not (see pitfalls above).

Want to know more?

  • Pfeffer & Sutton (Stanford) site: http://www.evidence-basedmanagement.com/
  • Article: Evidence-Based Management (HBR Jan 06 by Pfeffer & Sutton)
  • Wikipedia on Evidence-Based Management

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Preston is a product leader with experience scaling streaming TV entertainment platforms, two-sided marketplaces, and mobile apps used every day by millions of people. He’s VP of Product for Roku’s core end-user experience.

Previously led product teams at Comcast, eBay, and Microsoft as well as board roles with startups. He’s active in the product management community, participating and speaking frequently.

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